TAGS: GH PGOV PINR
SUBJECT: GHANA AND THE 2008 ELECTION: PROSPECTS FOR THE RULING NPP ACCRA 00002270 001.2 OF 003
Classified By: PolChief Scott Ticknor for reasons 1.5 d and e. 1. (C)
Summary: Ghana,s 2008 presidential election is still far away and the ruling New Patriotic Party will not choose its presidential candidate until its scheduled December 2007 convention. Nonetheless, there are already at least twelve contenders for the NPP flag-bearer position, including a number of sitting ministers and the Vice President. This is creating friction within the party, which will only intensify over the coming year. At this point, Vice President Aliu Mahama and Foreign Minister Akufo-Addo are front-runners. The party,s choice of a candidate and its success in managing its internal tensions will be key to its success in 2008. End Summary 2. (U)
8. (SBU) The NPP,s success in influencing upcoming District Assembly elections and in winning parliamentary by-elections will also impact its decision about a presidential candidate. NPP leaders will also weigh the nature of the opposition (reported septel) and the national mood. The party,s ultimate electoral success will depend on many factors, including the GOG,s ability to translate economic success into poverty reduction and to manage perceptions of growing corruption.